The Cleveland Guardians aim to bounce back in the series as they face the New York Yankees in a crucial Game 3 of the American League Championship Series on Thursday. The Yankees secured a strong 2-0 series lead with a 6-3 victory on Tuesday. New York (94-68), the AL East champions and the league’s top seed, are striving to make their first World Series appearance since 2009. Meanwhile, the second-seeded Guardians (92-69), champions of the AL Central, are seeking their first World Series berth since 2016.
First pitch from Progressive Field in Cleveland is set for 5:08 p.m. ET. New York is a -119 favorite on the money line (risk $119 to win $100) in the latest Yankees vs. Guardians odds from SportsLine consensus, while the total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 7.5. Before making any Guardians vs. Yankees picks, be sure to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model runs 10,000 simulations for every MLB game. Entering the 2024 NLCS and ALCS, it boasts a 32-17 record on top-rated run-line picks (+822) since last season, delivering impressive returns for followers.
The model has now focused on Yankees vs. Guardians and has finalized its picks and MLB predictions. Visit SportsLine to view the model’s selections. Here are some MLB odds and betting lines for Yankees vs. Guardians:
- Yankees vs. Guardians money line: New York -119, Cleveland -101
- Yankees vs. Guardians over/under: 7.5 runs
- Yankees vs. Guardians run line: New York -1.5 (+150)
- NYY: The Yankees have covered the run line in 50 of their last 83 road games (+19.10 units)
- CLE: The Guardians have hit the game totally under in 46 of their last 75 games (+19.40 units)
- Yankees vs. Guardians pick: See picks at SportsLine
- Yankees vs. Guardians streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why you should back the Yankees
New York is expected to send right-hander Clarke Schmidt (5-5, 2.85 ERA) to the mound. In 85.1 innings during the regular season, Schmidt allowed 71 hits, 27 earned runs, and 30 walks, while striking out 93. He received a no-decision in the 3-2 ALDS Game 3 win over the Kansas City Royals on Oct. 9. In that game, he pitched 4.2 innings, allowing four hits, two earned runs, and one walk while striking out four.
Second baseman Gleyber Torres is coming off a productive Game 2 performance, going 3-for-5 with two runs scored. He is batting.292 in the postseason and.4 batting.29244 in the series. In the decisive 3-1 ALDS Game 4 win at Kansas City last week, he was 2-for-5 with a double and one RBI. In 154 games during the regular season, Torres hit 257 with 26 doubles, 15 homers, 63 RBI, and 80 runs scored. See which team to pick here.
Why you should back the Guardians
Cleveland’s pitching is the fifth-best in MLB during the postseason with a 3.30 ERA with 29 walks and 74 strikeouts and a 1.33 WHIP. In 60 innings, the Guardians have allowed 51 hits, 22 earned runs and five homers. Cleveland is 2-1 at home with a 2.00 ERA with 12 walks and 39 strikeouts and a 1.19 WHIP.
First baseman Josh Naylor is a key player driving the Guardians’ offense. In Game 2 against the Yankees, he went 2-for-4 with an RBI. Naylor has also enjoyed success against New York in the past, boasting four doubles, three homers, and 14 RBI over 22 games. During the 2024 regular season, he played in 152 games, hitting .243 with 27 doubles, 31 homers, and 108 RBI. Find out which team to choose here.